Extremely Likely to Vote, Historically Less So

The largest reservoir of youth discontent may therefore sit with the group least likely to vote, suggesting the youth vote’s impact could hinge less on persuasion than on whether frustration manifests as participation. Democrats’ apparent advantage is also less secure than it looks. CIRCLE reported that young Democrats turned out at lower rates in 2024 than in other recent cycles, and that the youth electorate was more Republican and conservative than in previous elections.

Holden RaySeptember 28, 2026Vote, 2026 midterm elections, Elections, Youth Voters, Kamala HarrisComment

Alabama Redistricting Blocked

Tuesday's ruling reveals is not that the courts have settled the redistricting wars; they haven’t, but that Callais' reach is still being negotiated in real time. Whether the Supreme Court views its own remand as implicitly licensing maps it has previously called discriminatory will define not just Alabama's congressional map, but the outer limits of what post-Callais redistricting can look like across the South.

Holden RayMay 27, 2026Trump, Alabama, Republican Party, redistricting, AL redistricting, 2026 midterm electionsComment